Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 118.963192 135.434389 153.678323 175.439011 200.758522 229.373216 264.278808
2025-11-30 95.971558 117.539733 143.492009 177.233858 220.254366 273.683701 345.706231
2025-12-07 79.383124 102.196983 131.259815 171.400642 226.032132 298.697950 404.191560
2025-12-14 69.156988 92.659958 124.009172 169.498930 234.846466 326.915249 469.308415
2025-12-21 62.646520 86.885888 120.535594 171.529108 248.386945 362.430067 549.300400
2025-12-28 58.836361 84.214883 120.761845 178.418852 269.317245 410.975509 656.333042
2026-01-04 54.945344 80.867628 119.433122 182.507336 286.074914 454.879478 762.658785
2026-01-11 50.334788 75.886361 114.989093 180.989196 293.318864 483.859594 847.706698
2026-01-18 47.576442 73.437989 114.128924 184.986459 309.978921 530.693384 972.468224
2026-01-25 44.256389 69.745518 110.846400 184.433192 318.474651 563.928155 1076.812091
2026-02-01 41.753932 67.132604 109.038920 186.125975 331.037368 606.108927 1206.122867
2026-02-08 38.964015 63.778771 105.636316 184.537605 337.166248 636.580693 1316.164436
2026-02-15 36.187477 60.442105 102.352931 183.582075 345.953381 676.821034 1463.421432
2026-02-22 34.090303 58.129030 100.708650 185.642602 361.324366 733.910108 1664.428259
2026-03-01 31.097908 53.930022 95.201945 179.504025 358.900282 752.306043 1776.644218
2026-03-08 28.974025 51.116813 91.979614 177.500613 364.898701 790.388778 1947.814380
2026-03-15 27.567416 49.504099 90.862683 179.639865 380.232971 852.708904 2199.363577
2026-03-22 26.857474 49.141155 92.119595 186.901007 408.242789 950.756951 2578.257953
2026-03-29 25.875999 48.157466 92.030444 191.210821 429.984198 1037.305084 2949.175143
2026-04-05 24.389222 46.044600 89.436031 189.610417 437.124684 1087.052073 3220.550170
2026-04-12 23.567887 45.201179 89.393100 193.824485 459.458857 1182.431459 3671.504090
2026-04-19 22.384214 43.516027 87.406613 193.241171 469.333281 1244.764955 4029.501307
2026-04-26 21.488574 42.359214 86.454653 195.025926 485.796635 1329.781465 4499.018872